Caution
Monitor economically sensitive revenues
Board of Supervisors 2023

Description

Monitor activity in key economically sensitive revenues as an indicator of overall fiscal stability and to identify potential need to take corrective action.

Progress Update

Highlights from Q2 (April through June 2023) include:

  • Property and Transfer Taxes
    • Property tax revenues continue to grow in the current Fiscal Year.
    • However, transfer taxes have historically been indicative of future trends in property tax revenues.
    • Transfer taxes have been softening over the last couple of years.
    • This is in part due to an unprecedented increase in transfer activities in FY 20-21, presumably a result primarily of COVID-19 pandemic driven market activity, which was anomalous and unlikely to continue.
    • FY 22-23 transfer taxes YTD have outperformed FY 19-20 (pre-pandemic spike) and previous years, but are still less than the previous two Fiscal Years. FY 22-23 is on track to end at approximately 60% of the 20-21 peak.
  • Sales Tax
    • Some significant tax payments have not yet been received and will ultimately be accrued to the year-end total.
    • That being said, projections indicate that Sales tax revenues have softened as compared to FY 21-22.
    • However, FY 21-22 was somewhat anomalous as compared to the previous several fiscal years. FY 22-23 is likely to end in alignment with the years preceding FY 21-22.
  • Transient Occupancy Taxes (TOT)
    • TOT revenues continue to be healthy
  • Business Activity
    • Building fees performed slightly better than FY 21-22, and exceeded budget.
    • Recording fees are down as compared to previous years and on track to underperform as compared to adopted budget.
    • Similar to transfer taxes, these fees experienced an unprecedented increase coincident with the COVID-19 pandemic.
    • However, the revenue projections indicate reduced activity even as compared to pre-pandemic years.
  • Gas Tax
    • Gas tax revenues are relatively strong in the current FY and on track to exceed previous years.

Next Steps

Plans for Q3 (July through September 2023) include:

  • Continue to monitor key revenue streams.
  • Develop response plans if/when necessary.

Measures

Not Defined
Property Taxes and Transfer Taxes
Board of Supervisors 2023
Not Defined
Other key general fund revenues
Board of Supervisors 2023
Not Defined
Business Activity
Board of Supervisors 2023
Not Defined
Gas Tax
Board of Supervisors 2023

Objectives

On Target
Financial Stability and Core Services
Board of Supervisors 2023

Owner